We focus on Sector ETF and Stock investing strategies using an algorithmic trading model
that analyzes Relative Strength, Momentum, MACD and On Balance Volume indicators to select stocks and etfs for our portfolios.
The portfolios are predominantly long, but can go short depending on market conditions. A small select group of 2x index ETFs are also key parts of our portfolio mix.
Follow the Top 3 Sector Portfolio up 28% so far in 2024 with the SP500 rising 25% as of 11/22/24.
Our Aggressive Growth Portfolio is up 42% so far this year. This portfolio features a mix of stocks and Sector ETFs.
And our new Top 3 Sector/Stock/Dividend Stock Plus portfolio which we started in January 2023, is up a very strong 56% versus the SP500's gain of 25% YTD.
The Top 3 Sector Mission
Highest Total Return thru Sector ETFs and Stocks showing strong momentum and relative strength, in industries that disrupt, innovate and improve the way the world works.
Top 3 Sector Site Map
Today's Action Note - we publish our report between Noon and 1:00 pm
Market Dashboard Stock indices, Adv/Decline, Volume, VIX, TICK, Commodities
Stocks/ETFs showing Above Average Daily Volume
AAII Investor Sentiment - Fear/Greed Index of the Week
Today's Sector ETFs - Best and Worst
Stock Market Update
2024 YTD Best and Worst Sector ETF and Stock Performance
Stocks In The News Today – Earnings, Upgrades/Downgrades
SP 500 & Nasdaq Current Charts
Stocks We Are Watching Now
Top 3 Sector, Top 3 Plus & Aggressive Growth Portfolio Performance 2024 YTD Buy/Sell Stops
Best Dividend ETFs for 2023
In Our Archives (click "Top 3 Strategy" tab at top of site)
How the "Sell 1/3" Program Works - EBAY chart
The 10 Day/ 21 Day Moving Average Market Timing Signal
Why Dividends Should Always Be Invested
Warren Buffett's $1 M Bet the SP500 Index Fund Would Beat A Hedge Fund
The "Seven Percent Rule" To Cut Losses
CNBC's Josh Brown's Chart - How Many Years To Double/Triple Your Investment?
The Power Of Reinvested Dividends - How an SP500's Gain of 491% From 2009 Becomes +675% If You Reinvest Dividends
The Secret To How The Top 3 Sector Portfolio Outperforms the SP500
STOCK MARKET SNAPSHOT
Friday 1/24/25 Noon
Stocks mixed on low volume churn. Dow -.2%, SP500 -.06%, QQQ -.2% and Russell -.3%.
VIX down slightly to 14.71, quite low, Adv/Decline favoring advancers at 1670/1040. The dollar looks to be accelerating on the downside, down .7% and hitting 4 week lows. Oil -.5%, GDX Gold Miners up 1.6%. Bitcoin doing well, GBTC up 2.5%
Top 10 Stocks In QQQ:
Zanger Volume Ratio - Today
Exclusive Indicator only available on E-Signal platform and our Top 3 Sector Portfolio Site. Shows Percent Change Above or Below Average Daily Volume
Sector ETFs Stocks
Sectors High Volume
Dollar down .7% on 1400% above avg volume. that's a lot!
Online gambling BETZ up 1.2% on 150% volume
Defense ITA -.8% on 120% vol.
Stocks High Volume
Texas Instruments -4.7% on 700% above avg vol
Intuitive Surgical pulls back 4% on 560% vol
Am Express -2.7% on 555% vol
Electronic Arts falls further -2.7% on over 500% vol.
*Note: The Zanger Ratio is quite different from overall volume indicators, in that
it shows a particular stock's volume change above or below its average daily volume,
which is much more indicative of what's happening with that stock than simply high volume. It is exclusive to E-signal, our Top 3 Sector Portfolio website, and not available anywhere else.
Stock Index Performance For 2025
Nasdaq QQQ +3.7%
SP500 +3.6%
SP500 Eq Weight +4%
Dow Industrials +4.5%
Russell 2000: +3.5%
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AAII Investor Sentiment Survey 1/23/25
Bulls surge, rising a stunning 18% from 25.4% to 43.4%, while bears fall from 40.6% to only 29.4%. This is a huge reversal from last week's bearish tilt as Trump's administration actions move everyone off the fence.
The Fear/Greed Index 1/23/25
The Fear/Greed index moves up to Neutral at a score of 51 versus last week's "Fear" rating of 37. Similar to the AAII sentiment index, investors are becoming much more positive about the stock market. Other positive indicators: stock price strength is bouncing,
breadth (Mclellan Oscillator) has bottomed and is improving and the Put/Call index is headed downward toward the lows of the year.
Today's Best and Worst Sectors At 10:45 am
Best 4: Solar +2.2%, Nuclear +1.8%, Digital Travel +1.7%, Defense +1.5%
Today's Best and Worst Stocks At 2:05 pm
Best 4: ABT +3.5%, MPC +3.4%, NFLX +2.7%, BMY +2.8%
*These select stocks and Sector ETFs are chosen for their representation of key Sectors, and large
trading volume. We are aware that not all stocks are covered. As bellwether stocks , they show where the big money is flowing in, and even more importantly, where the money is flowing out of.
Today's Stock Market Action
S&P 500 slides on Friday as rally pauses, but stocks notch back-to-back weekly gains
The S&P 500 closed lower after hitting new records on Friday, as investors took some profit to end a solid week centered on President Donald Trump’s return to the White House.
The benchmark index shed 0.3% to 6,101.24, reversing course after hitting a fresh intraday record earlier in the session. The Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.5% to 19,954.30. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 140.82 points, or 0.3%, to 44,424.25. Friday’s losses snapped a four-day winning streak for the three major indexes.
Some megacap tech stocks that helped drive the market to all-time highs pulled back in the session, putting downward pressure on equities. Nvidia slid more than 3%, while Tesla fell more than 1%.
Despite Friday’s retreat, excitement toward Trump’s pro-business policies has largely pushed risk assets higher this week as investors focused on his inauguration. Traders were also relieved that there have only been threats on the tariff front from Trump — instead of formal action — during his first few days in the White House.
All three major averages posted their second straight positive weeks, signaling that the bull market is back in full force after December’s pullback.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq each rose around 1.7% this week, while the Dow climbed 2.2%. In addition to hitting fresh intraday records this week, the S&P 500 also notched a new all-time closing high on Thursday.
Notably, Trump said on Thursday that he would “demand that interest rates drop immediately” when addressing world leaders in Davos, Switzerland. The president also said he would ask Saudi Arabia and other OPEC nations to lower the price of oil.
“So far, markets have reacted to every statement made by the President, even those that should not have any impact,” said Mark Malek, chief investment officer at Siebert. “This shows that traders have not yet settled into their pace.”
Beyond politics, market participants kept an eye on corporate news and earnings reports. Novo Nordisk rallied more than 8% following positive early-stage results for a weight-loss drug. Texas Instruments, on the other hand, slid more than 7% on weak earnings guidance.
This action comes ahead of a busy week, when attention will turn to big technology earnings and the Federal Reserve meeting. Fed funds futures are pricing in a more than 99% chance that the central bank leaves interest rates unchanged, according to CMEGroup’s FedWatch tool.
STOCKS IN THE NEWS TODAY 1/24/25
Click on stock name for real time quote
Boeing — The airplane maker slipped slipped 1.3% after preliminary fourth-quarter financial results reflected ongoing struggles. Boeing said it expects to report a loss of $5.46 per share for the fourth quarter on revenue of $15.2 billion, less than analysts’ expectations, according to LSEG estimates. Boeing, which has not posted an annual profit since 2018, said it likely burned through $3.5 billion in cash during the quarter, partly due to a labor strike and new workforce agreement.
Novo Nordisk -- U.S.-listed shares jumped 14% after the Danish pharmaceutical maker said an early-stage trial for its once weekly amycretin obesity drug resulted in average weight reduction of 22% in obese and overweight patients after 36 weeks. Patients treated with the placebo saw 2% weight gain in the same period.
Twilio — The cloud communications software maker issued an optimistic forecast for the next few years at a Thursday investor event, leading shares to rally almost 18%. Twilio said its adjusted operating margin will reach as high as 22% in 2027, above the Wall Street consensus and the latest quarter’s 16.1%. Baird upgraded the stock to an outperform from neutral and said it came away from the company’s event confident ahead of its fourth-quarter results.
CSX — The Jacksonville, Fla.-based railroad slipped 3.5% after saying revenue fell last quarter due to a lower fuel surcharge and smaller coal revenue. CSX posted in-line earnings of 42 cents a share, excluding one-time items, which analysts polled by FactSet had expected. Revenue of $3.54 billion came in below the $3.56 billion forecast by analysts from FactSet.
Texas Instruments — Shares slumped 4% after the semiconductor maker issued a disappointing earnings forecast. For the current quarter, Texas Instruments estimates that profit will range from 94 cents to $1.16 per share, while analysts surveyed by LSEG had estimated $1.17 per share. In the quarter just ended, however, Texas Instruments beat Street expectations for both earnings and revenue.
Intuitive Surgical — The medical equipment maker fell 2% after a 2025 forecast showed one key profit margin is likely to shrink. Intuitive Surgical now expects an adjusted gross profit margin of 67% to 68% in 2025, down from 69.1% in 2024.
Best Sector ETF Performance From Jan. 2, 2025
This is only the first 3 weeks of the year, but patterns already forming:
Up: Uranium URA +14%, Bitcoin +13%, GDX Gold Miners +12%, ARKK +11%, SMH +9%
Best Stock Performance From Jan. 2, 2025
Up: Micron +23%, Coin +30%, Citi +16%, AMAT +16%
SP500 and Nasdaq QQQ Indexes
SP500 etf SPY: Right at the December high
Nasdaq 100 QQQ: Nearing all time high again
Hot Stocks & Sectors We Are Watching Today
Stocks selected are based on our 8 proprietary technical indicators we use in
all of our portfolio screening which include Relative Strength, Momentum,
Multiple MACD Buy/Sell timing triggers, and On Balance Volume.
Chart Key For All Charts:
White line: 10 Day Moving Avg
Green line: 21 Day MA
Orange: 50 DMA
Pink: 100 DMA
Blue: 150 DMA
Red: 200 DMA
Charts To Watch Today - The Strong And The Weak
Gold Miners GDX
Bitcoin GBTC
Dollar etf UUP
Coinbase
Caesars
Online Betting etf BETZ
Palantir
Current Stock/ETF Recommendations
New additions this week in red
Index: QLD, SSO, MAGS (Magnif 7 stks)
Tech/Software/Comm: META, NVDA, PANW, MSFT, AMZN,AMAT, SWKS, SMH
Robotics BOTZ, CRWD, SMH, AMAT, FRSH
Consumer Discr: BKNG, NFLX, COST, DE, CAT
Industrials:
Housing: Home Builders, KB Homes
Health Care: Intuitive Surg ISRG, MDT
Energy: Oil Services OIH, XOM, HAL
Utilities:
Leisure: Disney
Defense: XAR (Aerospace etf), RTX, PLTR, HACK
Finance: MA, GS, JPM, Bitcoin GBTC, Dollar etf UUP
Commodities:
Transports Tesla, Uber
Crypto Coinbase, GBTC etf
Real Estate: Dividend ETFs: RDIV Rising Div&Rev (4% Div), Rising Dividend RDVY (2% div)
Bonds:
Top 3 Sector Portfolios
We track three different types of portfolios, each with their own specific
asset allocations and level of risk.
The Top 3 Sector Portfolio is an all-Sector ETF portfolio. It is a medium to
low risk mix of ETFs that totally avoids the issue of single stock risk. We recommend this portfolio for investors seeking strong returns, but with less risk ,
higher cash balances, and more diversity for a good balance of growth with safety.
Returning 26% so far in 2024 and up 88% past 2 years, as of 1/3/24.
Our Aggressive Growth Portfolio utilizes a mix of stocks and Sector ETFs
to boost performance. It is a higher risk portfolio than the Top 3 Sector,
and generally out-performs it by 10% to 15%. It is currently up 46% for 2024,
and up 135% the past 2 years.
Our most speculative portfolio is the Top 3 Sector, Stock and Dividend PLUS
Portfolio. As the title implies, it is heavily weighted to Stocks and Sector ETFs
It has delivered the highest return of all 3 portfolios, up 53% for 2024, and up 189% last 2 years as of 1/3/24.
The Top 3 Sector PLUS portfolio uses a proprietary algorithm that selects the 3-5 best stocks/etfs based on RSI, Momentum, Relative Volume and performance, constantly updating the top holdings. It is designed for experienced traders, and features a very active management style. It is a high risk/high reward strategy.
_______________________________________________________
Top 3 Sector Update - 1/21/25
We will continue to track the 3 portfolios from Jan 2 2024.
But listed further down in the site you will see how they have done as priced from Jan 2, 2025 which is an excellent way to see relative performance among th current holdings in the new year.
_______________________________________________________
Top 3 Sector Portfolio
Performance From Jan. 2 2024 +32%
The Top 3 Sector Portfolio is up 32%, versus the SP500's gain of 28%, and the QQQ is up 26%.
The Current asset allocation:
Index 30%, Sectors/ETFs 26%, Dividend ETFs 21%, Cash 28%
Best Performers
#1 SP500 2x SSO +51%
#2 Nasdaq 2x QLD +51%
#3 Defense ITA +24%
#4 Cyber Sec HACK +24%
#5 Rising Div RDVY +14%
Buy Stops
Bought 2% Biotech XBI @ 93.02 on 1/24/25
Bought 2% Pharma VHT @ 265.81 on 1/24/25
Sell Stops
Ticker Symbols for Top 3 Sector Portfolio:
QLD,SSO,HACK,ITA,SDIV, RDVY,PAVE,RDIV,URA
Aggressive Growth Portfolio
Performance From Jan. 2, 2025 +53%
The Aggressive Growth Portfolio which features a mix of ETFs and Stocks
is up 53% from Jan 2024, versus the SP500's +28%.
Current Asset Allocation:
Index 20%, Stocks 42%, Sectors/ETFs 5%, Dividend ETFs 17%, Cash 16%.
Best Performers
#1 Intuit Surg +101%
#2 META +77%
#3 QLD 2x QQQ +51%
#4 SSO 2x SPY +52%
#5 Broadcom +30%
#6 Palo Alto Netw +26%
Buy Stops Buy 2% L3 Harris LHX @ 221.02
Buy 2% JPM @ 263.91 Triggered on 1/23/25 @ 263.91
Bought 2% Biotech XBI @ 93.02
Sell Stop
Ticker Symbols For Aggressive Growth Portfolio QLD,SSO,META,RDVY,PANW,ISRG,XAR,RDIV,AVGO,CCJ,MSFT, BA
Top 3 Sector/Stock/Dividend Plus Portfolio
Performance From Jan. 2, 2024 58%
The Top 3 Plus portfolio is up 63% for versus SP500 +27%
Best Performers
#1 Nvidia +196%
#2 META +78%
#1 QLD 2x QQQ +52%
#2 SSO 2x SPY +52%
#5 Vertiv +57%
#5 Netflix +58%
Current Asset Allocation:
Index/Sectors 34%, Stocks 48%, Dividend ETFs 11%, Cash 4%
Buy Stops
Sell Stops
Ticker Symbols for Top 3 Plus Portfolio:
QLD,SSO,HACK,NVDA,META,SDIV,NFLX,RDVY,LLY,COST, XAR,VRT,CRWD,DIS
Best Dividend ETFs for 2024
#1 Utilities IDU +32% 2%
#2 Rising Dividend RDVY +24% 1.62%
#3 Vanguard Div Apprec VIG +20% 1.70%
#4 Rising Div & Revenue RDIV +21% 3.5%
The two dividend stock ETFs we own in the Top 3 Sector portfolios are now #2 and #4 best performers for 2024. The Rising Dividend RDVY up 24.4% with a 1.6% dividend is #2, while #4 Rising Dividend and Revenue RDIV is up 21% with a 3.5% dividend.
On a total return basis, the RDVY is up 26%, while the RDIV has gained 24.5%. That's amazing for a stock dividend fund.
Top 3 Sector Portfolio - Starting Jan 2 2025
Performance From Jan. 2, 2025 +7%
Aggressive Growth Portfolio
Performance From Jan 2 2025 +7%
Top 3 Plus Stock/ETF/Dividend Stock Portfolio
Performance From 1/2/25 +8%
In Our Archives
(Click "Top 3 Sector Strategy" at Top of site)
How the "Sell A Third" protects your profits
Our Best Market Timing Indicator: the 10 Day/21 Day Moving Average Cross Over
The 7% Solution - When To Sell A Stock
CNBC's Josh Brown What Percent Return Can Double Your Money In 5 Years?
What Does Top 3 Sector Mean And How Does It Give You An Edge?
How Reinvested Dividends Can Add 50% to 75% To Your Returns
NUALOLO VALLEY, KAUAI
For Real Time Updates and charts - FOLLOW US AT:
The information and material contained within the posts and articles appearing at this site are the opinions of the authors alone and do not constitute a recommendation of any securities, investment strategy or investment transaction. The information and articles appearing at this site are not intended to be and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation to any user regarding their personal investment needs or economic circumstances. None of the content provided is intended as investment advice regarding any specific security, portfolio of securities, market strategy or investment transaction.
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Follow the Top 3 Sector Portfolio up 21% in 2024 and up 73% past 12 months
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