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Top 3 Sector Portfolio Market Update

Updated: 9 hours ago

Tuesday 7/23/24 11:16 am


We focus on Sector etf and Stock Investing Strategies using an algorithmic trading model that

analyzes Relative Strength, Momentum, MACD and On Balance Volume indicators to select Stocks and ETFs. The portfolio is predominantly long, but can go short depending on market conditions. A small select group of 2x Index ETFs are also key parts of our portfolio mix.


Follow the Top 3 Sector Portfolio up 67% in the past 14 months (from 1/3/23 low) versus the SP500 +36%.


Our Aggressive Growth Portfolio is up 82% in the past year. This portfolio features a mix of stocks and Sector ETFs.


And our new Top 3 Sector/Stock/Dividend Stock Plus portfolio which we started in January 2023, is up an impressive 106% since the 1/3/23 market low. That is the best return for that time frame in our history. In comparison, the SP500 is up 36% and Nasdaq 100 QQQ rising 66%.

See all three portfolios in the Top 3 Sector section below.


The Top 3 Sector Mission


Highest Total Return thru Sector ETFs and Stocks showing strong momentum and relative strength, in industries that disrupt, innovate and improve the way the world works.


Top 3 Sector Site Map


Today's Action Note - we publish our report between Noon and 1:00 pm


  • Market Dashboard Stock indices, Adv/Decline, Volume, VIX, TICK, Commodities

  • Stocks/ETFs showing Above Average Daily Volume

  • Market Update Stocks In The News Today – Earnings, Upgrades/Downgrades

  • SP 500 & Nasdaq Current Charts

  • Stocks We Are Watching Now

  • Top 3 Sector Portfolio Outlook

  • Top 3 Sector, Top 3 Plus & Aggressive Growth Portfolio Performance 2023 YTD Buy/Sell Stops

  • Today's Sector ETFs - Best and Worst

  • Today's Stocks - Best and Worst

  • 2024 YTD Best Sector TF Performance

  • 2024 YTD Best Stock Performance

  • Best Dividend ETFs for 2023

  • 2023 Performance of ETFs (from the 1/3/23 market low)

  • 2023 Performance of Stocks (from 1/3/23 low)


In Our Archives (click "Top 3 Strategy" tab at top of site)

  • How the "Sell 1/3" Program Works - EBAY chart

  • The 10 Day/ 21 Day Moving Average Market Timing Signal

  • Why Dividends Should Always Be Invested

  • Warren Buffett's $1 M Bet the SP500 Index Fund Would Beat A Hedge Fund

  • The "Seven Percent Rule" To Cut Losses

  • CNBC's Josh Brown's Chart - How Many Years To Double/Triple Your Investment?

  • The Power Of Reinvested Dividends - How an SP500's Gain of 491% From 2009 Becomes +675% If You Reinvest Dividends

  • The Secret To How The Top 3 Sector Portfolio Outperforms the SP500


 

STOCK MARKET SNAPSHOT

Tuesday 7/23/24 11:16 am


Dow pops 51 points or .15%, SP500 rising .3%, QQQ +.4%, Russell 2000 +1% as small caps rise once again. VIX falls slightly to 14.65, Adv/Decline split at 1450/1200,

Dollar rising .2%, Oil sinks -2% on worries about the economy, bitcoin falls 2%.

Volume on SPY at 9.5 M is very light as we await Tesla after the bell.




Top 10 Stocks In QQQ at 11:16 am:





Zanger Volume Ratio - Today


Exclusive Indicator only available on E-Signal platform

Shows Percent Change Above or Below Average Daily Volume


Sector ETFs Stocks

Sectors:

Defense #1 with ITA rising 2.5% on 260% above avg vol

Pharma VHT up .3% on 190%

Rising Div RDIV up .1% on 184%


Stocks:

#1 loser today is UPS -12% on a whopping 1,700% above avg daily volume

GM -6% on 750% volume

NXPI -9% on 670% volume and GE +6% on 660% - this thing is unstoppable

Lockheed +3.7% on 600% above avg daily volume


*Note: The Zanger Ratio is quite different from overall volume indicators, in that

it shows a particular stock's volume change above or below its average daily volume,

which is much more indicative of what's happening with that stock than simply high volume. It is exclusive to E-signal and not available anywhere else.


 

Stock Index Performance So Far In 2024


  • Nasdaq QQQ:  + 18%  

  • SP500  +   16.5%

  • SP500 Eq Weight + 7.5%

  • Dow Industrials + 7.5%

  • Russell 2000:  + 11%




 

Major Earnings For Week of 7/22/24

 

Tuesday 

UPS

Spotify

GM

Coca Cola

Alphabet

Phillip Morris

Freeport

Lockheed Martin

MSCI

Visa

Tesla

Seagate


Wednesday 

ATT

CMG

Service Now

Ford

Newmont Gold

KLAC

O’Reilly Auto

IBM

CME Group

Las Vegas Sands

Thermo Fisher Scientific

General Dynamics

 

Thursday 

Norfolk Southern

Honeywell

Southwest Air

American Air

Royal Caribbean

Raytheon

Valero Energy

Harley Davidson

Union Pacific

Skechers


Friday 

3M

Bristol Myers

Colgate

Charter Comm.



 

Today's Best and Worst Sectors At 11:16 am


Rising: Semi's +3.5%, QLD 3%, Chiuna 2%


Falling: Energy -.5%, Travel -.5%, Bonds -.4%





Today's Best and Worst Stocks At 11:16 am


Rising: LRCX +6%, AMAT +5.7%, TSLA +4.8%, NVDA +4.7%


Down: Verizon -6%, SBUX -3.5%, ATT -3%, Disney- just can't stop lower, -2%



*These select stocks and Sector ETFs are chosen for their representation of key Sectors, and large

trading volume. We are aware that not all stocks are covered. As bellwether stocks , they show where the big money is flowing in, and even more importantly, where the money is flowing out of.



 

Stock Market And Top 3 Sector Portfolio


Tuesday 7/23/24 11:42 am


S&P 500 rises as traders await key tech earnings


The S&P 500 edged higher Tuesday, with traders readying for earnings reports from major companies, after the benchmark posted its best day in more than a month.


The S&P 500 rose 0.2%, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.3%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 78 points, or 0.2%.


Wall Street continued assessing the latest second-quarter earnings reports, with Google-parent Alphabet and Tesla due to report after the bell. Those reports will mark the Street’s first look at how major tech-related names fared over the past three months.


“It’s all about the micro as the Q2 earnings season kicks into high gear and investors sift through a multitude of reports from the U.S. and Europe,” wrote Vital Knowledge’s Adam Crisafulli.


UPS posted second-quarter results that missed on the top and bottom lines, sending the stock down 13% and on pace for its worst day on record. General Motors easily beat analyst expectations but shares dipped 6% as the automobile company delayed plans for its electric and autonomous vehicles.


Despite those disappointments, earnings season is off to a strong start. About 20% of S&P 500 companies have posted second-quarter results, with 80% of those names beating expectations, FactSet data shows.


Those moves follow a winning day on Wall Street, as technology stocks rebounded from last week’s sell-off. The small cap-focused Russell 2000 also rose on Monday, adding to last week’s gain, which was seen as a sign of traders moving money to this cohort from Big Tech names that have seen monster gains this year.


The shift to small caps also comes as investors grow increasingly excited that the Federal Reserve will soon begin lowering interest rates, a move seen as particularly helpful for smaller and more cyclically oriented companies.


UPS heads for worst day ever


Shares of United Parcel Service sank more than 13% Tuesday on the heels of a disappointing second-quarter earnings report.


The package delivery company fell short of analyst expectations on the top and bottom lines and cut guidance for the year. UPS now expects revenues for 2024 to come in around $93 billion, versus a previous forecast for as much as $94.5 billion.


The company reported adjusted earnings of $1.79 per share on $21.8 billion in revenue. That fell short of an LSEG estimate calling for EPS of $1.99 and $22.18 billion in revenue.

United Parcel Service Inc


Ether ETFs begin trading, cryptocurrency slips

Ether funds are now officially trading on exchanges in the United States.

The price of ether fell slightly on Tuesday morning. The cryptocurrency is up over 50% of the year but does not seem to have had the same pre-emptive demand that bitcoin did ahead of the debut of its tracking funds.


Home sales fall more than expected but prices hit new high


Existing home sales declined in June even as the median sales price hit a fresh record high, the National Association of Realtors reported Tuesday.


Sales totaled 3.89 million on the month, a 5.4% decline on both a monthly and annual basis and below the Dow Jones estimate for 3.95 million.


However, the median sales price jumped 4.1% from a year ago to $426,900, the second straight month it has hit a new high and the 12th month in a row that the figure increased. Unsold inventory rose to the equivalent of 4.1%, the highest since May 2020.



Coca-Cola shares rise after earnings beat


Shares of Coca-Cola were trending higher in premarket trading after the beverage giant beat expectations for the second quarter.


Coca-Cola reported 84 cents in adjusted earnings per share on $12.36 billion of revenue for the quarter. Analysts surveyed by LSEG were expecting 81 cents per share and $11.76 billion of revenue. Organic revenue grew 10% in North America year over year even as unit case volume dipped 1%.


The company also said it now expects organic revenue growth between 9% and 10% for the full year, up from a range of 8% to 9% previously, according to FactSet’s StreetAccount.



 

Sector ETF Performance in 2024


Leaders: Bitcoin +72%, Semi's +42%, QLD +27%, SSO +29% ,

China +22%, GDX +20%, Oil +17%

Laggards: Solar -22%, Cloud -12%, ARKK -1%, TLT -6%





Stock Performance in 2024


Leaders: Nvidia +138%, TSM 59%, COIN +48% Lilly +47%

Laggards: Nike -33%, Intel -34%, Boeing -31%, AAL -23%, ULTA -20%, M -18%




 


STOCKS IN THE NEWS TODAY 7/23/24

Click on stock name for real time quote


Spotify Technology — The music streaming stock surged 13% after Spotify Technology posted second-quarter earnings that topped estimates. Gross margin also exceeded expectations, along with operating income.


General Motors — The auto stock jumped 4.6% after General Motors easily topped second-quarter estimates. GM also said it is restructuring its struggling autonomous vehicle and China businesses.


Lockheed Martin — The defense stock rose 0.5% after Lockheed Martin topped earnings and revenue expectations. The aerospace company posted second-quarter earnings of $6.85 per share on revenue of $18.12 billion. Analysts polled by LSEG had expected earnings per share of $6.46 on revenue of $17.04 billion.


Coca-Cola Company — Shares of the beverage company rose 1.7% after a better-than-expected earnings report. Coca-Cola reported 84 cents in adjusted earnings per share on $12.36 billion of revenue. Analysts surveyed by LSEG were expecting 81 cents in earnings per share and $11.76 billion of revenue. The company also raised its full-year guidance for organic revenue.


NXP Semiconductors — Shares dropped 7% after NXP Semiconductors reported second-quarter earnings that missed estimates. Adjusted earnings of $3.20 per share were below the LSEG consensus estimate of $3.21 in earnings per share. Revenue of $3.13 billion came in line with estimates.


United Parcel Service — The package delivery company tumbled nearly 9% after reporting a miss on both top and bottom lines in the second quarter. UPS reported $1.79 in earnings per share on $21.80 billion in revenue. Analysts polled by LSEG had estimated $1.99 in earnings per share and revenue of $22.18 billion.


Danaher — The life sciences stock jumped 6% after Danaher posted second-quarter earnings and revenue that exceeded expectations. “We were particularly pleased with the sustained positive momentum in our bioprocessing business,” CEO Rainer Blair said in a statement.


Crown Holdings — The packaging stock gained 6% after Crown Holdings posted second-quarter earnings that topped analysts’ expectations, according to FactSet consensus estimates. Crown also issued better-than-expected full-year earnings guidance.


Zions Bancorporation — Shares gained 3% after Zions Bancorporation posted second-quarter earnings that exceeded expectations. The regional bank posted earnings of $1.28 per share, more than the $1.10 in earnings per share anticipated by analysts polled by LSEG.


GE Aerospace — The aerospace stock popped 4% after GE Aerospace reported second-quarter earnings that topped estimates. The company reported adjusted earnings of $1.20 per share on revenue of $9.09 billion. Analysts surveyed by LSEG had anticipated earnings per share of 99 cents on revenue of $8.46 billion.


Comcast — Shares fell 2% after Comcast reported mixed results. In its latest quarter, the company’s adjusted earnings totaled $1.21 per share, topping the expected earnings of $1.12 per share. However, revenue of $29.69 billion fell below the LSEG estimate of $30.02 billion.


 


SP500 and Nasdaq QQQ Indexes



SP500 etf SPY - Bouncing off the 21 dMA





Nasdaq 100 QQQ - Also rebounding after a 6% drop from the high:




Hot Stocks & Sectors We Are Watching Today


Stocks selected are based on our 8 proprietary technical indicators we use in

all of our portfolio screening which include relative strength, momentum,

Multiple MACD Buy/Sell timing triggers, and on balance volume.


Chart Key For All Charts:


White line: 10 Day Moving Avg

Green line: 21 Day MA

Orange: 50 DMA

Pink: 100 DMA

Blue: 150 DMA

Red: 200 DMA


Charts To Watch Today - The Strong And The Weak


Charts of Stocks/ETFs we hold in our 3 portfolios showing weakness


CrowdStrike reverses up 3.7% 3 day rule?

Lockheed Martin - surging 2.7% best of the defense stocks

UPS stuns the street with lower guidance, falls 14%

GE just a powerhouse

NXPI semi supplier to Apple takes a header for -9% today on earnings

Defense etf ITA- We own it, moving up and #1 we track rising 2.7% today












Top 3 Sector Portfolio Preferred Stocks/Sector ETFs



Current Stock/ETF Recommendations

Index: QID, SDS

Tech/Software/Comm: META, NVDA, PANW, MSFT, AMZN, AMD, GLW, INTU,

HACK, ADBE

Consumer Discr: MO (9.3% div), PM, KO, BKNG, NFLX, MCD

Industrials: GE, HON

Housing: KB Homes, Builders etf ITB

Health Care: Intuitive Surg ISRG, LLY

Energy: XLE, XOM

Defense: Defense etf ITA, LHX, XAR (Aerospace etf)

Finance: GS, JPM, MCO, ICE, SPGI

Commodities: GDX, Oil USO

International:

Real Estate: Dividend ETFs: RDIV Rising Div&Rev (4% Div), Rising Dividend RDVY (2% div)

Super Div SDIV (12% div)

Bonds:



Top 3 Sector Portfolios


We track three different types of portfolios, each with their own specific

asset allocations and level of risk.


The Top 3 Sector Portfolio is an all-Sector ETF portfolio. It is a medium to

low risk mix of ETFs that totally avoids the issue of single stock risk. We recommend this portfolio for investors seeking strong returns, but with less risk

higher cash balance, and more diversity.


Our Aggressive Growth Portfolio utilizes a mix of stocks and Sector ETFs

to boost performance. It is a higher risk portfolio than the Top 3 Sector,

and generally out-performs it by 5% to 7%.


Our most speculative portfolio is the Top 3 Sector, Stock and Dividend Plus

Portfolio. As the title implies, it is heavily weighted to Stocks and Sector ETFs


The Top 3 Plus portfolio uses a proprietary algorithm that selects the 3-5 best stocks/etfs based on RSI, Momentum, Relative Volume and performance, constantly updating the top holdings. It is designed for experienced traders, and features a very active management style. It is a high risk/high reward strategy.



 

Top 3 Sector Portfolio

Performance 2024 +19%


The Top 3 Sector Portfolio is up 19% in 2024, versus the SP500's gain of 17%, and the QQQ is up 18%.


The Current asset allocation:

Index 26%, Sectors/ETFs 22%, Dividend ETFs 8%, Cash 39%


Best Performers


#1 QLD 2x QQQ +33%

#2 SSO 2x SP500 +32%

#3 Builders ITB +14%


Buy Stops


Sell Stops


Ticker Symbols for Top 3 Sector Portfolio:

QLD,SSO,HACK,ITA,XLI,,BOTZ,SDIV, RDVY




 

Aggressive Growth Portfolio

Performance For 2024 +28%


The Aggressive Growth Portfolio which features a mix of ETFs and Stocks

is up 28% for 2024, versus the SP500's +17%.


Current Asset Allocation:

Index 18%, Stocks 55%, Sectors/ETFs 12%, Dividend ETFs 12%, Cash 3%.


Best Performers


#1 Intuitive Surgical +51%

#2 META +39%

#3 QLD 2x QQQ +33%

#4 SSO 2x SPY +32%

#5 Corning GLW +17%


Buy Stops

Buy 2% CrowdStrike @ 279.85


Sell Stops


Sell Electronic Arts EA @ 138.25


Ticker Symbols For Aggressive Growth Portfolio QLD,SSO,META,AMD,MRK,RDVY,PANW,TOL,SDIV,GLW,EA,ISRG,GS,




 


Top 3 Sector/Stock/Dividend Plus Portfolio

Performance For 2024 +37%


The Top 3 Plus portfolio is up 38% for 2024, the SP500 is up 17%


Best Performers

#1 Nvidia +150%

#4 Meta + 39%

#2 QLD 2x QQQ + 33%

#3 SSO 2x SPY + 32%



Current Asset Allocation:

Index/Sectors 26%, Stocks 58%, Dividend ETFs 6%, Cash 10%


Buy Stops 

Buy 2% Amgen @ 336.74

Buy 2% Lilly @ 889.38


Sell Stops 



Ticker Symbols for Top 3 Plus Portfolio:

QLD,SSO,HACK,NVDA,META,CMG,SDIV,GOOGL,NFLX,RDVY,HON,GLW,ADBE






Best Sectors 2023 From 1/3/23 (18 months)

Longer Term Performance


Here are the top performing Sector ETFs:


Bitcoin +620%

QLD +179%

Semi's +145%

Builders + 88%

SSO 2x SPY + 88%

Software +69%

Internet + 61%





Best Stocks From 1/3/23 (18 months)


Here are the top performing Sector ETFs:


Nvidia +707%

Coinbase +651%

Meta +296%

CrowdStrike +190%

Broadcom +181%

Toll Bros +164%



*These select stocks are chosen for their representation of key Sectors, and large

trading volume. We are aware that not all stocks are covered. These bellwether stocks show where the big money is flowing in, and even more importantly, where the money is flowing out of.

 



Best Dividend ETFs Past 18 Months (from 1/3/23 mkt low)


Best Dividend ETFs - Performance Past 16 Months


#1 Rising Dividend RDVY +25% 2%

#2 Emerg Mkt Div DEM +24% 5.5%

#3 Vanguard Div Apprec VIG +22% 1.7%








Top 3 Sector Portfolio

Performance From 1/3/23 +53%






Aggressive Growth Portfolio

Performance From 1/3/23 +98%






Top 3 Plus Stock/ETF/Dividend Stock Portfolio

Performance From 1/3/23 +108%








In Our Archives:


How the "Sell A Third" protects your profits


Our Best Market Timing Indicator: the 10 Day/21 Day Moving Average Cross Over


The 7% Solution - When To Sell A Stock


CNBC's Josh Brown What Percent ReturCanto Double Your Money In 5 Years?


What Does Top 3 Sector Mean And How Does It Give You An Edge?


How Reinvested Dividends Can Add 50% to 75% To Your Returns



See all of it by clicking on "Top 3 Sector Strategy" Page At Top of this site




NUALOLO VALLEY, KAUAI




For Real Time Updates and charts - FOLLOW US AT:


The information and material contained within the posts and articles appearing at this site are the opinions of the authors alone and do not constitute a recommendation of any securities, investment strategy or investment transaction. The information and articles appearing at this site are not intended to be and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation to any user regarding their personal investment needs or economic circumstances. None of the content provided is intended as investment advice regarding any specific security, portfolio of securities, market strategy or investment transaction.


Copyright 2016 Top3SectorPortfolio

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We offer a premium service for our Top 3 Sector Portfolio members that will

boost your portfolio performance with access to instant alerts on new buys and

sells sent to your inbox as we trade in real time.


Got a stock you're thinking of buying? We will analyze it technically and provide a buy/sell recommendation.


And our weekly Sunday Night Strategy Report will give you all the sectors and stocks

we are currently recommending so you can be ready for the new week. It also presents our "Stock Of The Week" with an intensive technical and fundamental analysis that give you an exact Buy stop for your trading.


You will get:


-Our exclusive weekly strategy report - what we're watching, and emerging trends.

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-Interested in a stock? We will provide charts, technical analysis and buy/sell

recommendations of your stock within 30 minutes of your submission.

-In a rapidly moving market, split-second decisions are made, and while we

post new buys/sells on the site, it takes time to publish, missing good entry points

-We use 8 proprietary indicators including Momentum, MACD trigger, and Relative

Volume indicators to find the best performing stocks and sectors

-At Top 3 Sector Portfolio, all of our transactions are made in our own accounts,

so you will be trading alongside us, and we are very careful managing risk.

-Our Daily Hot Stocks recommendation exclusive to only our Gold members

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Follow the Top 3 Sector Portfolio up 68%% from 1/3/23 versus the SP500 +36%,









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